Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:31·DEN 6, NYJ 0

   (9:31) #16 Smith in at QB (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 23, RECOVERED by DEN-39-V.Fox at NYJ 23. 39-V.Fox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:55·DEN 13, NYJ 7

   (6:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 19-E.Royal for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. New York Jets challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 06:44.)

   +17pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:32·DEN 7, NYJ 6

   (8:32) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:56·DEN 17, NYJ 13

   (12:56) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Denver challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 12:44.)

   +8pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:55·DEN 17, NYJ 14

   (7:55) 4-B.Favre pass deep left intended for 87-L.Coles INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Bly at DEN 32. 32-D.Bly to DEN 32 for no gain (87-L.Coles).

   +7pp

   DEN