Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 1:11·CIN 7, PIT 10

   (1:11) (Punt formation) 19-K.Larson punts 34 yards to PIT 39, Center-48-B.St. Louis. 14-L.Sweed MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CIN-93-R.Jeanty at PIT 39. 93-R.Jeanty to PIT 39 for no gain (14-L.Sweed). The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +18pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:54·CIN 7, PIT 7

   (3:54) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 10-S.Holmes to CIN 26 for 22 yards (29-L.Hall).

   +11pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:28·CIN 7, PIT 10

   (:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 21-M.Moore to PIT 32 for -2 yards (97-J.Thornton).

   +11pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:32·CIN 7, PIT 10

   (:32) (Shotgun) 11-R.Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short right to 84-T.Houshmandzadeh (22-W.Gay).

   +11pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:30·CIN 7, PIT 0

   (11:30) (Run formation) 33-G.Russell left tackle to CIN 3 for 1 yard (59-B.Johnson; 68-J.Fanene). Official measurement.

   +8pp

   PIT