Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 3:42·DEN 7, KC 6

   (3:42) (Shotgun) 15-B.Marshall left end to DEN 42 for -8 yards (56-D.Johnson). FUMBLES (56-D.Johnson), RECOVERED by KC-24-B.Flowers at DEN 39. 24-B.Flowers to DEN 2 for 37 yards (89-D.Graham). DEN-73-C.Kuper was injured during the play. His return is Probable. Denver challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 03:29.)

   +35pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q3 · 7:32·DEN 13, KC 16

   (7:32) 27-L.Johnson right tackle to DEN 45 for -2 yards (24-C.Bailey). FUMBLES (24-C.Bailey), RECOVERED by DEN-97-B.Bailey at DEN 45. 97-B.Bailey to DEN 45 for no gain (27-L.Johnson). Kansas City challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 07:21.)

   +15pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 6:46·DEN 13, KC 16

   (6:46) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 39-B.Carr at KC 21. 39-B.Carr to DEN 47 for 32 yards (73-C.Kuper).

   +14pp

   KAN
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:13·DEN 0, KC 0

   (14:13) 27-L.Johnson up the middle to DEN 21 for 65 yards (32-D.Bly, 24-C.Bailey).

   +13pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:25·DEN 0, KC 6

   (11:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 28-M.Pittman to KC 30 for 40 yards (49-B.Pollard) [90-T.McBride].

   +13pp

   DEN