Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:39·PIT 0, PHI 0

   (9:39) 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 29-T.Hunt to PIT 20 for 5 yards (20-B.McFadden; 51-J.Farrior). PHI-29-T.Hunt was injured during the play. He is Out. Pittsburgh challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 29-T.Hunt to PIT 20 for 5 yards (51-J.Farrior). FUMBLES (51-J.Farrior), RECOVERED by PIT-20-B.McFadden at PIT 20. 20-B.McFadden to PIT 20 for no gain (29-T.Hunt).

   +13pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:21·PIT 0, PHI 0

   (10:21) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass deep right to 81-J.Avant to PIT 25 for 19 yards (25-R.Clark).

   +13pp

   PHI
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:55·PIT 6, PHI 10

   (1:55) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 86-H.Ward to PHI 36 for 16 yards (26-L.Sheppard, 27-Q.Mikell).

   +12pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q2 · 6:00·PIT 3, PHI 7

   (6:00) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at PIT 45 for -6 yards (75-J.Parker). FUMBLES (75-J.Parker) [75-J.Parker], RECOVERED by PHI-97-B.Bunkley at PIT 45. 97-B.Bunkley to PIT 45 for no gain (83-H.Miller).

   +11pp

   PHI
5. 5
   Q3 · 13:16·PIT 6, PHI 10

   (13:16) (Shotgun) 4-K.Kolb pass short right intended for 82-L.Smith INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Polamalu at PHI 49. 43-T.Polamalu to PHI 49 for no gain (69-J.Runyan). Philadelphia challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 13:10.)

   +10pp

   PIT