Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:58·PHI 28, NE 31

   (3:58) 14-A.Feeley pass deep right intended for 80-K.Curtis INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE -1. Touchback.

   +25pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 13:46·PHI 0, NE 6

   (13:46) 14-A.Feeley pass short right intended for 36-B.Westbrook INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at PHI 40. 22-A.Samuel for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 22-Samuel 21st career interception, tying Don Webb for 10th place on Patriots all-time list. NE 22-Samuel 1st interception return TD of season, 3rd career regular season (3rd best in Patriots history). Patriots are the only team in the NFL to have not allowed an opponent to score on their 1st possession of games this season.

   +18pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q3 · 4:18·PHI 21, NE 24

   (4:18) (Shotgun) 14-A.Feeley pass deep left to 80-K.Curtis to NE 42 for 19 yards (27-E.Hobbs). NE-59-R.Colvin was injured during the play.

   +14pp

   PHI
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:56·PHI 13, NE 14

   (12:56) (Shotgun) 14-A.Feeley pass deep middle to 83-G.Lewis for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   PHI
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:57·PHI 28, NE 24

   (8:57) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to PHI 14 for 16 yards (22-J.Hanson). NE 83-Welker 11th reception of game, tying career best.

   +13pp

   NWE