Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:54·IND 0, CAR 7

   (2:54) 17-H.Smith punts 41 yards to CAR 20, Center-48-J.Snow. 10-R.Robinson to CAR 20 for no gain. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by IND-52-R.Guzman at CAR 20. 52-R.Guzman to CAR 20 for no gain (10-R.Robinson).

   +11pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:44·IND 3, CAR 7

   (6:44) 16-V.Testaverde pass short middle intended for 83-K.Colbert INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND -2. 41-A.Bethea to IND 6 for 8 yards (45-B.Hoover). PENALTY on IND-79-R.Brock, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 2 yards, enforced at IND 4.

   +11pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:38·IND 9, CAR 7

   (1:38) 29-J.Addai right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:19·IND 3, CAR 7

   (2:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to CAR 38 for 23 yards (35-D.Cooper).

   +8pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:56·IND 3, CAR 7

   (8:56) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 86-B.Utecht to IND 25 for 11 yards (53-N.Diggs). FUMBLES (53-N.Diggs), RECOVERED by CAR-43-C.Harris at IND 30. 43-C.Harris to IND 25 for 5 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by CAR-53-N.Diggs at IND 28. Play Challenged by IND and Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 08:44.)

   +7pp

   CAR