Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:34·ARI 17, SF 13

   (1:34) 11-A.Smith scrambles left end ran ob at ARI 20 for 25 yards (47-A.Francisco).

   +28pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:32·ARI 17, SF 13

   (:32) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle to 83-A.Battle to ARI 1 for 22 yards (42-T.Holt). FUMBLES (42-T.Holt), recovered by SF-82-D.Jackson at ARI 1. Ball recovered in end zone, by rule ball spotted at the point of the fumble. Caught at ARI 4.

   +23pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:26·ARI 17, SF 19

   (:26) 83-A.Battle left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q1 · 11:41·ARI 0, SF 0

   (11:41) 7-M.Leinart pass short left intended for 11-L.Fitzgerald INTERCEPTED by 27-W.Harris at ARI 29. 27-W.Harris pushed ob at ARI 6 for 23 yards (75-L.Brown).

   +17pp

   SFO
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:58·ARI 3, SF 7

   (11:58) 11-A.Smith sacked at SF 42 for -8 yards (sack split by 58-K.Dansby and 92-B.Berry). FUMBLES (58-K.Dansby) [58-K.Dansby], RECOVERED by ARI-94-A.Smith at SF 38. 94-A.Smith to SF 36 for 2 yards (65-J.Smiley). SF QB A.Smith charged with a sack for -12 yards.

   +17pp

   ARI