Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:55·NE 24, JAX 21

   (1:55) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 44 for -1 yards (97-J.Green). FUMBLES (97-J.Green), RECOVERED by NE-37-R.Harrison at JAX 46. 37-R.Harrison to JAX 46 for no gain (11-R.Williams). Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.

   +31pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 13:12·NE 3, JAX 6

   (13:12) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by NE and Upheld. (Timeout #2 by NE at 12:59.)

   +21pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:02·NE 24, JAX 21

   (2:02) 18-T.Sauerbrun punts 42 yards to JAX 45, Center-66-L.Paxton, fair catch by 27-R.Mathis.

   +15pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:12·NE 24, JAX 20

   (3:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 18-M.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:00·NE 17, JAX 7

   (4:00) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 19-E.Wilford to NE 2 for 41 yards (22-A.Samuel).

   +12pp

   JAX