Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 14:19·NYJ 0, MIN 0

   (14:19) 10-C.Pennington sacked at NYJ 38 for -6 yards (58-N.Harris). FUMBLES (58-N.Harris), RECOVERED by MIN-56-E.Henderson at NYJ 36. 56-E.Henderson to NYJ 34 for 2 yards (65-B.Moore). NYJ-74-N.Mangold was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

   +16pp

   MIN
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:53·NYJ 7, MIN 7

   (3:53) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass deep middle to 81-J.McCareins to MIN 24 for 50 yards (23-C.Griffin).

   +13pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q2 · 6:18·NYJ 16, MIN 7

   (6:18) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass deep left to 87-L.Coles for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:00·NYJ 0, MIN 6

   (13:00) 14-B.Johnson pass deep middle to 89-T.Taylor for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [33-E.Smith].

   +9pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:28·NYJ 7, MIN 7

   (2:28) (Field Goal formation) 7-B.Graham pass incomplete to 1-M.Nugent.

   +8pp

   MIN