Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 6:03·DET 21, NE 21

   (6:03) 8-J.Kitna sacked at DET 40 for -7 yards (59-R.Colvin). FUMBLES (59-R.Colvin), RECOVERED by NE-99-M.Wright at DET 32.

   +22pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:56·DET 21, NE 21

   (7:56) 8-J.Kitna pass short left intended for 89-D.Campbell INTERCEPTED by 50-M.Vrabel at NE 49. 50-M.Vrabel to NE 46 for -3 yards (89-D.Campbell).

   +17pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:57·DET 21, NE 21

   (6:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-B.Watson to DET 30 for 9 yards (38-J.McGraw). FUMBLES (38-J.McGraw), RECOVERED by DET-42-T.Holt at DET 29. 42-T.Holt to DET 29 for no gain (85-D.Gabriel).

   +14pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q2 · 4:25·DET 7, NE 3

   (4:25) 35-P.Pass left guard to NE 19 for 4 yards (93-C.Smith). FUMBLES (93-C.Smith), RECOVERED by DET-32-D.Bly at NE 19. 32-D.Bly to NE 14 for 5 yards (61-S.Neal).

   +13pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:11·DET 7, NE 3

   (6:11) 34-K.Jones right guard to NE 5 for -1 yards (25-A.Hawkins). FUMBLES (25-A.Hawkins), RECOVERED by NE-50-M.Vrabel at NE 2. 50-M.Vrabel to NE 2 for no gain (30-C.Schlesinger).

   +13pp

   NWE