Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:10·DEN 23, NYG 23

   (:10) 10-E.Manning pass to 81-A.Toomer for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +40pp

   NYG
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:05·DEN 23, NYG 24

   2-J.Feely kicks 47 yards from NYG 30 to DEN 23. 60-J.Engelberger to DEN 18 for -5 yards. Lateral to 81-C.Adams to DEN 35 for 17 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by NYG-37-J.Butler at DEN 35. 37-J.Butler to DEN 30 for 5 yards (40-C.Cox, 38-M.Anderson).

   +24pp

   NYG
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:27·DEN 23, NYG 17

   (:27) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass to 80-J.Shockey pushed ob at DEN 8 for 24 yards (52-I.Gold).

   +21pp

   NYG
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:46·DEN 0, NYG 0

   (13:46) 21-T.Barber right tackle to 50 for 1 yard (27-D.Williams). FUMBLES (27-D.Williams), RECOVERED by DEN-27-D.Williams at NYG 46. Officially, a rush for -3 yards.

   +13pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:24·DEN 23, NYG 17

   (5:24) 1-J.Elam 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-16-J.Plummer.

   +11pp

   NYG