Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 5:34·JAX 21, GB 17

   (5:34) 4-B.Favre pass intended for 88-B.Franks INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Mathis at JAX -6. Touchback (88-B.Franks).

   +25pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:49·JAX 7, GB 9

   (4:49) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich sacked at JAX 16 for -8 yards (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila). FUMBLES (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila), recovered by JAX-67-V.Manuwai at JAX 18. 67-V.Manuwai to JAX 18 for no gain (42-D.Sharper). FUMBLES (42-D.Sharper), RECOVERED by GB-42-D.Sharper at JAX 15. 42-D.Sharper for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by JAX and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by JAX at 04:44.)

   +23pp

   GNB
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:17·JAX 14, GB 10

   (1:17) 4-B.Favre FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 30, RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Smith at JAX 31. 52-D.Smith to JAX 31 for no gain (89-R.Ferguson).

   +15pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 11:52·JAX 14, GB 16

   (11:52) 4-B.Favre pass to 80-D.Driver for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   GNB
5. 5
   Q3 · 10:22·JAX 20, GB 17

   (10:22) 28-F.Taylor up the middle for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +15pp

   JAX