Matchup Finder
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Matchup quality drives more start-sit decisions than any other piece of weekly data, but raw fantasy points allowed lies. One backup running back going for three touchdowns against a 32nd-ranked rush defense can drag that defense up the tough-matchup leaderboard for the rest of the season. The Matchup Finder fixes that with a Bayesian-adjusted ranking that down-weights small-sample outliers so the numbers reflect what real starters actually do against a defense.
Pick a position (QB, RB, WR, or TE), pick a season, and you'll see all 32 defenses ranked from worst to best at stopping that position. Each defense gets a color-coded tier bar (green for bottom-8 smash spots, cyan for favorable, yellow for neutral, red for the top-8 tough matchups) plus a row of weekly cells colored by how the position scored that week. Toggle SOS Adjusted off to see the raw numbers, or click any defense to expand the week-by-week breakdown with top scorers.
For a quick draft-prep view of the same matchup data, the defense fantasy points against page shows ranks for all four positions in one flat grid.
Weekly game log showing how each defense performed against QBs. Click any row to see the full scoring breakdown.
SOS Adjusted. Each player's score is normalized against a confidence-weighted baseline (blending their season average with the league mean based on games played). Small-sample backups have minimal SOS impact; proven starters drive the adjustment. Green = above the adjusted baseline, Red = below.
How does defense vs position fantasy matchup analysis work?
Defense vs position matchup analysis ranks all 32 NFL defenses by how many fantasy points they allow to QBs, RBs, WRs, or TEs. League Station's 2025 ranking applies a Bayesian adjustment that down-weights small-sample outliers, so one backup running back's three-touchdown game doesn't drag a defense up the tough-matchup leaderboard for the rest of the season.
Want the raw data behind these reports?
25 seasons of NFL data in Excel format, updated weekly.